EloEdge: Kalshi model probabilities

com.eloedgePublished by eloedge.comOfficial publisherv2.6.0Updated Oct 24, 2026

Calibrated probabilities for Kalshi markets, a news wire and Polymarket outliers (Pro).

VerifiedStreamable HTTPWeb executableFinance

Overview

AI-generated overview

A remote MCP server that gives an assistant calibrated probability estimates for Kalshi prediction markets, plus a news wire and Polymarket outliers on Pro.

What you can do
Retrieve calibrated probability estimates for Kalshi prediction markets, so an assistant can compare market pricing with model output. Follow a news wire tied to these markets. On the Pro tier, surface Polymarket outliers. Access is through a single remote endpoint with an API key.
When to use it
Useful when you follow Kalshi prediction markets and want model-based probabilities alongside market prices, or want news and cross-market outlier signals in the same assistant session.
Requirements
Remote streamable HTTP endpoint at eloedge.com. OAuth authentication is required, using an Authorization header carrying a Bearer token: an EloEdge API key starting with ek_, created in the EloEdge account area. Network access to the provider.
Before you install
The API key is a secret sent in the Authorization header; keep it private. Signing up starts a 7-day trial that requires a card, so expect billing after the trial. Some features, such as Polymarket outliers, are limited to the Pro tier. Probability estimates are model output, not investment advice.

Installation

In SourceWeft

  1. Open EloEdge: Kalshi model probabilities in the dashboard and add it to a workspace.
  2. Connect the required credentials. They are stored privately and never shown on public pages.
  3. Enable the server for the chats that should use its tools.

Web executable via Streamable HTTP. Remote servers run from the web runtime once configured in a workspace.

Use with an agent

Paste this prompt into Claude Code, Codex, Cursor or another agent — or into SourceWeft chat. The agent reads this server's install guide, shows you its publisher, endpoint and sign-in, and adds it to your client once you agree. Keys never go into a command.

Read https://sourceweft.com/mcp/com.eloedge%2Fkalshi-prediction-markets/install.md and connect the MCP server it describes to my client. Before changing any config, show me its publisher, endpoint and sign-in method and wait for my OK. Never put an API key in a command or in a file I would commit; ask me where it should come from.

Read the install guide the agent follows

Other MCP clients

Add this to your client's mcpServers config. The client completes OAuth sign-in on first connect.

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "eloedge-kalshi-model-probabilities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://eloedge.com/api/mcp/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Tools

0
This server asks you to sign in, so SourceWeft could not read its tools without an account and has not indexed them. What a connected account sees can depend on that account and its permissions.

Version history

2
  1. v2.6.0LatestOct 15, 2026
  2. v2.5.0Sep 28, 2026

Score

67% of the applicable checks met

How complete this listing is, computed from the registry entry, the endpoint and public sources. Not a rating of the server and not a statement that it is safe or working today: reachability is a dated check, and no installs or reviews go into the score.

  • Reached in the last 30 daysRequired25 pts
  • Auth declaredRequired10 pts
  • Tools listed15 pts

    Answer tools/list without a credential, or ship a package that starts in a sandbox without one.

  • DescriptionRequired15 pts
  • Logo10 pts
  • Documentation15 pts

    Declare a GitHub repository with a README, or serve resource_documentation in the OAuth protected-resource metadata.

  • LicenseNot applicable

    A hosted service is used under its provider's terms, so no license is expected here. This check is left out of the percentage.

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