Election Odds Desk

com.predictionmarketspicksPublished by predictionmarketspicks.comOfficial publisherv1.2.0Updated Nov 5, 2026

Kalshi odds for 2026 Senate, governor and House races, the Senate map, and the next Fed meeting.

The publisher's own server: Fantasy Football MCP — Draft, Start/Sit, Waivers

VerifiedStreamable HTTPWeb executableFinance Data & Analytics

Server details

Identifier: com.predictionmarketspicks/elections
Transport: Streamable HTTP
Runtime: Web executable
Trust: Verified
Published: Oct 10, 2026

Security note

MCP servers receive tool arguments from a conversation and may perform external actions. Review what a server can do before you enable it, and give it only the access it needs.

The registry verified that this server's namespace belongs to predictionmarketspicks.com, which also runs its endpoint. That identifies the publisher; it does not make the server's tools safe.

SourceWeft's checks cover whether the listing is complete and the endpoint answered; they do not review the server's code or what its tools do.

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Overview

AI-generated overview

Hosted MCP server giving assistants Kalshi election odds for 2026 Senate, governor and House races, the Senate map, Fed rate odds and market pulse.

What you can do: Look up live Kalshi odds for a single 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, with each leg's price, volume and forecaster ratings
Read the full 2026 Senate map, seat by seat, with holder, ratings and live price, closest race first
Compare where the same contract is cheapest after fees across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig
Get Kalshi-implied odds of a Fed cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting
Read a US macro-health composite score and regime with six category scores
When to use it: Useful when you want an assistant to answer questions about 2026 US election markets or Fed meeting odds using live Kalshi prices, or to check which venue offers the cheapest price on a race or Fed contract.
Requirements: Remote Streamable HTTP endpoint; no install, no key and no environment variables are declared for the free tools. Network access to the hosted service is required.

Before you install

The server is operated by a third party and its market data is described as educational analysis, not financial advice. Odds and prices are informational; any trading decision and its costs remain the user's own.

Installation

In SourceWeft

Open Election Odds Desk in the dashboard and add it to a workspace.
Enable the server for the chats that should use its tools.

Web executable via Streamable HTTP. Remote servers run from the web runtime once configured in a workspace.

Use with an agent

Paste this prompt into Claude Code, Codex, Cursor or another agent — or into SourceWeft chat. The agent reads this server's install guide, shows you its publisher, endpoint and sign-in, and adds it to your client once you agree. Keys never go into a command.

Read https://sourceweft.com/mcp/com.predictionmarketspicks%2Felections/install.md and connect the MCP server it describes to my client. Before changing any config, show me its publisher, endpoint and sign-in method and wait for my OK. Never put an API key in a command or in a file I would commit; ask me where it should come from.

Read the install guide the agent follows

Other MCP clients

Add this to your client's mcpServers config.

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "election-odds-desk": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}

README

Hosted endpoint + full tool list: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp?utm_source=github&utm_medium=repo&utm_campaign=mcp-readme

PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

Canonical home: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.

[npm] [mcp MCP server] [M8ven Verified]

A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, Kalshi's 15-minute markets and perps (with liquidation estimates), live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.

Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it — per tool, wins and losses both, including the engines that lose money. The live record: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record

Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm
Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
40 tools on the main endpoint (/api/mcp/mcp), 45 across the two hosted servers: the fantasy-draft server adds adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players, draft_board and who_do_i_draft. No key needed for the free set. Counts read from the live tools/list on 2026-11-03.
Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. During the season all eight answer week-by-week NFL market questions instead of draft questions.

See it work

[Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps in one question]

Gemini CLI: install in one command, ask which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open. (47s demo · setup)
Kalshi vs Polymarket, in one question: ask where the two venues disagree, then whether they agree on the next Fed meeting. (50s demo · setup guide)
Kalshi 15-minute gold & Bitcoin + the BTC perp: live boards and perp funding in one chat. (48s demo · commodity markets)
Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor: paste one URL and ask. (40s demo · Cursor setup)
Kalshi weather edges + Kelly sizing: forecast vs market, then the position size, in one chat. (46s demo · weather)

Connect

One click: Add to Cursor · Add to VS Code · Gemini CLI: gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp

Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm

Hosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:

jsonc

{  "mcpServers": {    "predictionmarketspicks": {      "command": "npx",      "args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"]    }  }}

{  "mcpServers": {    "predictionmarketspicks": {      "command": "npx",      "args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"]    }  }}

That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 40 tools on the main endpoint, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp            # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft    # bridge to the fantasy-draft servernpx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local    # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp            # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft    # bridge to the fantasy-draft servernpx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local    # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all

--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.

Other hosted surfaces (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):

Server	Endpoint	Exposes
`com.predictionmarketspicks/quant`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm`	40 tools
`com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-draft`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-draft/mcp?via=github`	11 tools: the 8 draft tools (all answer in season with the week's market) plus the in-season league tools `my_league`, `start_sit` and `waiver_targets`
`com.predictionmarketspicks/weather`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=github`	The 7-tool weather loop: `weather_board` (every open Kalshi daily-high strike) + `edge_alerts` (weather feed) + the five calculators
`com.predictionmarketspicks/commodities`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=github`	The 10-tool macro & commodities desk: `fifteen_min_board`, `perps_board`, `perp_liquidation`, `commodity_edge` (gold / silver / oil / bitcoin), `fed_rate_odds`, `market_pulse`, `base_rate_gap` + three calculators
`com.predictionmarketspicks/elections`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=github`	The election odds desk: `senate_map`, `race_odds`, `best_price` (every 2026 Senate, governor and House race on Kalshi), `fed_rate_odds`, `market_pulse`
`com.predictionmarketspicks/crypto`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=github`	The crypto desk: `fifteen_min_board`, `perps_board`, `perp_liquidation`, `commodity_edge` (bitcoin) + three calculators

Tools

Free tools need no key. Pro tools read the live PMP edge engines and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key ($14.99/mo). Deeper results on the list-shaped tools unlock instantly and free — no key to copy, nothing to install: unlock here.

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via `--local`

Tool	What it does
`calculate_ev`	Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
`kelly_size`	Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating.
`bayes_update`	Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence; returns the posterior and the per-step chain.
`convert_probability`	Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds.
`base_rate_gap`	Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample quality.
`combo_edge`	Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, correlation-aware joint probability, negative-correlation trap flag.

Markets — free

Tool	What it does
`fed_rate_odds`	Live Kalshi-implied odds of a Fed rate cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting, plus the next meeting and the current fed funds rate.
`fifteen_min_board`	Every Kalshi 15-minute series live — crypto, gold, silver, oil, natural gas, copper, currencies — with the open window's YES price, close time, settlement source, and how the last 96 windows settled.
`perps_board`	Every Kalshi perp — price, volume, open interest, max leverage, and what funding has cost a long since launch.
`perp_liquidation`	Where a leveraged Kalshi perp position liquidates (an estimate from Kalshi's published risk parameters), with fees and funding over the hold.
`weather_board`	Every open Kalshi daily-high temperature strike in 13 cities — YES price, settlement station, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it.

Politics — free

Tool	What it does
`senate_map`	Every 2026 Senate seat — holder, structure rating, forecaster ratings and the live Kalshi price, closest race first. Unpriced seats return null, never an estimate.
`race_odds`	Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race (by state or district, e.g. "TX-34") — every leg's price, volume and link, plus the forecaster ratings.
`best_price`	Where the same contract is cheapest after fees — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs Novig — for a sports game, a 2026 race or the next Fed meeting. Ranked by price only.

Markets — free, depth-capped

Tool	What it does
`find_arbitrage`	Cross-venue price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same contract. Largest gap free; whole board on Pro.
`market_pulse`	US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. Composite always free.

NFL in-season — free

Tool	What it does
`nfl_power_ratings`	PWR for all 32 NFL teams — points per game above an average team on a neutral field, with rank and tier.
`nfl_win_probability`	Turn an NFL spread + total into win probability, projected score, and over/cover probability — or pass two teams to derive the spread.
`nfl_ladder`	The Ladder — every Kalshi strike vs our whole distribution (spreads, season wins, props) with the derived verdict: SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED.
`nfl_prop_board`	This week's NFL prop prices venue by venue — every Kalshi strike vs the book consensus, DraftKings/FanDuel lines, Novig/ProphetX, and where the best price for each side actually is.
`nba_prop_board`	Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.
`nba_game_board`	Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only.
`nba_injury_impact`	Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes and stats rose without him (with sample sizes), beside today's Kalshi prop prices.
`ladder_arb`	Ladder Arb Scanner — Kalshi college football + NFL spread/total ladders priced out of order on the same side of the same game: locked arbitrage (buy the low strike, sell the high one) and crossed-mid inversions with the resting orders that capture them.
`explain_game`	Why our model prices one NFL game where it does — Kalshi's price and line, our win probability, the model's lean in points, each team's power rating and the QB gate.
`explain_prop`	Why one NFL player prop is a call — the YES/NO side and its Kalshi price, the tier, our projection against the threshold, and whether it is a published PLAY or held at WATCH.
`explain_ladder`	Why The Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder — a game's spread, a team's season win total or a player's prop — the way it does: which way our curve leans or how its shape differs from Kalshi's, where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, and every strike with our number where we publish one.

NHL — free

Tool	What it does
`nhl_edge`	Goal Light — every NHL game and player contract priced against Kalshi, with the book consensus beside it and a 10,000-season simulation for the futures board.
`track_record`	Our graded record per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) plus the daily editorial call: W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era. WATCH calls are reported apart.
`my_league`	Your Sleeper league by username — each starter beside every Kalshi prop strike on him this week, with the best price per side, opponent, kickoff and OUT/QB-gate flags. Market data only.
`start_sit`	Two to four players side by side — the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat, read off his own strike ladder, plus his anytime-TD price. Market prices only; the call stays yours.
`waiver_targets`	Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at — filtered to players still available in your league when you give a username.

Fantasy draft desk — in season

Answering in season (free): player_outlook · explain_player · compare_players · sleepers_and_busts — the same names, now about this week: one player's Kalshi prop strikes, why the model prices them there, two to four players side by side, and the players the market over- and underprices.

Also answering in season (free): draft_board · best_available · who_do_i_draft · adp_market_gaps — the week's market version of each: players ranked by the median Kalshi prices them at, the strikes where Kalshi and the book consensus are 5¢+ apart, and the props on your roster. Draft answers return with the 2027 board.

Pro — live edge engines

commodity_edge · scan_mispricings · nfl_edge · nfl_prop_edge · edge_alerts

Trade tickets from the silver, gold, oil and bitcoin engines; Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model; NFL game and prop edges; the alerts feed. edge_alerts is the one hybrid: Pro keys get the feed in real time, and without a key the same feed arrives delayed 24h.

All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis).

Source

This repo is the public home of the server: the manifest, the bridge, the offline calculator build, and the docs. The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks — MIT license covers this repository, and no install is required to use the server.

npm installnpm run smoke          # offline calculator self-test, no networknpm run smoke:bridge   # bridge self-test against the hosted endpointnpm start -- --local   # stdio server, 6 calculators

npm installnpm run smoke          # offline calculator self-test, no networknpm run smoke:bridge   # bridge self-test against the hosted endpointnpm start -- --local   # stdio server, 6 calculators

Or run the offline build with Docker:

About

Built by PredictionMarketsPicks — independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

License

MIT — see LICENSE.

Source: README.md at commit 3b7fbeb

Tools

SourceWeft has not read this server's tools yet.

Version history

v1.2.0LatestOct 22, 2026
v1.1.0Oct 13, 2026
v1.0.1Oct 10, 2026

Score

85% of the applicable checks met

How complete this listing is, computed from the registry entry, the endpoint and public sources. Not a rating of the server and not a statement that it is safe or working today: reachability is a dated check, and no installs or reviews go into the score.

Reached in the last 30 daysRequired25 pts
Auth declaredRequired10 pts
Tools listedRequired15 pts
Answer tools/list without a credential, or ship a package that starts in a sandbox without one.
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