RiskState — Crypto Risk Engine

ai.riskstate由 riskstate.ai 发布官方发布者v1.0.1更新于 Oct 24, 2026

Live BTC/ETH risk state: risk policy, market structure and trading playbooks. Keyless free tier.

已验证Streamable HTTP可网页运行金融数据与分析

概览

AI 生成的概览

RiskState 提供只读的 BTC/ETH 风险策略、市场结构与交易剧本数据,让助手在交易前查询允许的风险敞口。

可以做什么
读取 BTC 或 ETH 的当前风险策略:策略等级、最大仓位比例、杠杆上限、允许与禁止的操作,以及带策略哈希的综合评分。查看市场结构:正在触发的结构事件、预期不对称性、距下一触发点的距离和关键结构位。查询交易剧本状态:哪些规则化形态正在触发、结构门槛判定、冷却状态,以及其他形态不匹配的原因。评估假设仓位是否符合组合级上限,返回是否允许、仓位上限和原因代码。所有工具均为只读,不会下单。
适用场景
适用于助手协助 BTC 或 ETH 交易决策、需要在提出或确定仓位规模前核对风险许可的场景,也适合在风险策略之外补充市场结构与剧本背景。面向现货、永续合约和 DeFi 借贷分析,而非订单执行。
运行要求
远程使用无需安装或 API 密钥,将托管的 Streamable HTTP 端点添加为自定义连接器即可。带密钥的 stdio 包需要 Node.js 和 RISKSTATE_API_KEY 环境变量,RISKSTATE_API_URL 为可选项。需要访问 RiskState API 的网络,每个密钥限每分钟 60 次请求。
安装前请注意
服务器为只读且不下单,但其输出属于交易风险参考而非投资建议,且仅覆盖 BTC/USD 与 ETH/USD。带密钥的包需要 RISKSTATE_API_KEY 密钥,应避免写入共享配置。可选的 wallet_address 与 protocol 参数会把 DeFi 仓位信息发送到远程 API。免费层返回的是公开摘要,更完整字段需要密钥。

安装

在 SourceWeft 中

  1. 打开 控制台中的 RiskState — Crypto Risk Engine,将其添加到工作区。
  2. 为需要使用其工具的对话启用该服务。

Web executable,通过 Streamable HTTP。 远程服务在工作区中配置后即可从网页运行时运行。

交给智能体安装

把这段提示词粘贴到 Claude Code、Codex、Cursor 等智能体,或 SourceWeft 对话中。智能体会读取该服务器的安装指南,先向你展示发布者、端点和登录方式,经你同意后再把它添加到你的客户端。密钥不会写进任何命令。

阅读 https://sourceweft.com/mcp/ai.riskstate%2Fmcp/install.md,并按其中说明把这个 MCP 服务器接入我的客户端。修改任何配置之前,先告诉我它的发布者、端点和登录方式,等我确认。不要把 API 密钥写进命令或我会提交的文件;问我密钥应从哪里获取。

查看智能体所依据的安装指南

其他 MCP 客户端

把它添加到你客户端的 mcpServers 配置中。

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "riskstate-crypto-risk-engine": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://api.riskstate.ai/mcp"
    }
  }
}

README

RiskState MCP Server

MCP server for RiskState — pre-trade risk permissions for BTC/USD and ETH/USD. Spot, perpetual futures (perps), and DeFi borrowing aware.

Your system asks: "How much can I risk right now?" RiskState answers with: policy level, max exposure, leverage limits, blocked actions — computed from 30+ real-time signals.

Two ways to use RiskState over MCP

1. Remote connector — no install, no API key. RiskState runs a hosted MCP server (Streamable HTTP) with a free public tier:

https://api.riskstate.ai/mcp

Add it as a custom connector in Claude or ChatGPT, then just ask what the risk state of BTC is. It exposes three read-only tools — get_risk_state, get_market_structure, get_playbook_status — covering all three engines, and is listed on the official MCP registry as ai.riskstate/mcp.

Responses are the free public summary: the same altitude as the public visualizer. policy_hash, composite subscores, positioning and macro detail need a key.

2. This package — stdio, keyed, full response. Use it when you want the complete audited payload in a local agent, or to pin a version in your own toolchain. It needs a RISKSTATE_API_KEY and returns everything your key is entitled to. That is what the rest of this README covers.

Tools

Four read-only tools, one per question you might ask before a trade:

ToolAnswersEndpointKey
get_risk_policyHow much exposure is allowed?POST /v1/risk-stateyes
get_market_structureAre we near a structural inflection?POST /v1/market-structureyes
get_playbook_statusIs a setup actionable right now?GET /api/playbook-datano
check_tradeWould THIS position be allowed?POST /v2/portfolio-risk-stateyes

get_risk_policy returns:

FieldDescription
policy_level5 levels: BLOCK_SURVIVAL, BLOCK_DEFENSIVE, CAUTIOUS, GREEN_SELECTIVE, GREEN_EXPANSION
max_size_pctMaximum position size as % of portfolio (0-100)
leverage_maxMaximum allowed leverage multiplier
allowed_actionsWhat the agent CAN do at this policy level
blocked_actionsWhat the agent CANNOT do
confidence_scoreSignal agreement x data quality (0-1)

check_trade evaluates a hypothetical book — send the position you are considering plus anything you already hold, since the caps are portfolio-aware. It returns per position whether it is allowed, the size cap in percent and dollars, and reason_codes when it is not. Those are blocking; advisories are informational and do not affect allowed. It places no orders.

get_playbook_status reports a setup as actionable only when its conditions match, no engine vetoed it, and it is not in alert cooldown. Setups that match but already alerted are counted separately, so an agent polling this tool does not act on the same signal twice.

Why there are no write tools

There is no update_policy, no set_limit, no exception management — and there will not be. The premise of RiskState is that the system being governed cannot move its own limits. Every decision is hashed (policy_hash) so it can be audited afterwards against the inputs that produced it; a tool that let the caller rewrite the policy would make that hash meaningless and the audit trail decorative.

So the lifecycle here deliberately lives on one side: the engine computes, the agent reads and complies. check_trade is the closest thing to a dynamic per-trade operation, and it is still read-only — it answers "would this be allowed", never "allow this".

The API aggregates 9+ real-time data sources server-side. See API docs for details.

What this wrapper does (and doesn't)

This is a thin wrapper — it translates MCP tool calls into REST API requests and returns the response. All computation (scoring, policy engine, data ingestion) happens server-side.

This wrapper adds:

  • MCP protocol compliance (stdio transport for Claude Desktop/Code)
  • Input validation via Zod schemas
  • Human-readable policy summary prepended to responses
  • Specific error messages (auth, rate limit, timeout) for agent recovery

This wrapper does NOT:

  • Cache responses (the API has 60s server-side cache)
  • Perform any scoring or computation locally
  • Guarantee response schema stability (follows API versioning)

Installation

bash
npm install @riskstate/mcp-server

Configuration

Environment Variables

VariableRequiredDescription
RISKSTATE_API_KEYYesAPI key from riskstate.ai (free during beta)
RISKSTATE_API_URLNoCustom API base URL (default: https://api.riskstate.ai)

Claude Desktop

Add to ~/.config/Claude/claude_desktop_config.json:

json
{  "mcpServers": {    "riskstate": {      "command": "npx",      "args": ["-p", "@riskstate/mcp-server", "riskstate-mcp"],      "env": {        "RISKSTATE_API_KEY": "your-api-key"      }    }  }}

Claude Code

bash
claude mcp add riskstate -- npx -p @riskstate/mcp-server riskstate-mcp

Set the API key in your environment:

bash
export RISKSTATE_API_KEY=your-api-key

Global install (alternative)

bash
npm install -g @riskstate/mcp-serverriskstate-mcp  # starts MCP server on stdio

Usage

The four tools are listed above. get_risk_policy takes:

Parameters

ParameterTypeRequiredDescription
asset"BTC" | "ETH"YesAsset to analyze
wallet_addressstringNoDeFi wallet for on-chain position data
protocol"spark" | "aave"NoLending protocol (default: spark)
include_detailsbooleanNoInclude full breakdown (subscores, macro, risk flags)

Example Response

json
{  "exposure_policy": {    "policy_level": "CAUTIOUS",    "max_size_pct": 35,    "leverage_max": 1.5,    "allowed_actions": ["DCA", "WAIT", "SPOT_LONG_CONFIRMED"],    "blocked_actions": ["LEVERAGE_GT_2X", "NEW_POSITIONS_UNCONFIRMED"]  },  "classification": {    "cycle_phase": "MID",    "market_regime": "RANGE",    "macro_regime": "NEUTRAL",    "direction": "SIDEWAYS"  },  "auditability": {    "composite_score": 52,    "confidence_score": 0.72,    "policy_hash": "a3f8c2...",    "ttl_seconds": 60  }}

How Agents Should Use This

Call get_risk_policy before every trade:

  1. If policy_level starts with BLOCK → do not open new positions
  2. Use max_size_pct to cap position sizing
  3. Check blocked_actions before executing
  4. Re-query after ttl_seconds (60s cache)

For a sized position, check_trade collapses steps 2-3 into one call: send the position you intend to open along with what you already hold, and read allowed plus reason_codes. Prefer it over re-deriving the cap yourself, since the caps are portfolio-aware and a position that passes in isolation can still breach concentration once aggregated.

get_market_structure and get_playbook_status are context, not permission. Neither one authorises a trade — only the risk policy does. Use them to decide whether a trade is worth proposing, then get_risk_policy / check_trade to learn how much of it you are allowed.

Limitations

  • v1 scope: BTC/USD and ETH/USD only (USD-denominated assessment). More assets planned.
  • Markets: Spot, perpetual futures, and DeFi borrowing. Same response — interpretation differs by market (see API docs).
  • Protocols: Spark and Aave V3 only for DeFi position data.
  • Rate limit: 60 requests/minute per API key.
  • Latency: ~1-3s per request (9+ upstream data source aggregation).
  • Tested with: Claude Desktop, Claude Code. Should work with any MCP-compatible client.

Links

License

MIT

来源:README.md,提交 d4773c8

工具

3

get_risk_state

Get BTC/ETH risk state

Current risk state of Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH): 5-level risk policy (BLOCK to GREEN) with max position size, leverage limit, direction bias and allowed/blocked actions, plus composite score (0-100), structural and tactical scores, market regime (BULL/SIDEWAYS/BEAR), volatility regime, cycle phase and macro state. Computed from 9+ real-time data sources (price, funding, RSI, MVRV, ETF flows, on-chain, macro). Use whenever the user asks how BTC or ETH is doing, whether it is a good time to buy/sell/hold, or how much risk to take.

输入参数asset

get_market_structure

Get BTC/ETH market structure

Market Structure Engine view for BTC or ETH: validated structural events firing now (breakouts, breakdowns, cycle bottom/top, funding resets), expected asymmetry, distance to the next bullish/bearish triggers, key structural levels (ATH, 200W MA, 180d range) and a friction map of confluence-scored support/resistance walls between spot and the triggers. Use for questions about levels, support/resistance, breakouts or what would change the picture.

输入参数asset

get_playbook_status

Get trading playbook status

Trading Playbook Engine status: the registry of rule-based trade setups (playbooks) for BTC and ETH and which ones are firing right now, with structure-gate verdicts, cooldown state and why non-firing setups do not match (failed predicates with live market readings). Strategy-level only — no prices, sizes or portfolio data. Use for questions about active trade setups or what the playbooks are watching.

无需输入参数。

版本历史

1
  1. v1.0.1最新Sep 16, 2026

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