Futuristic Risk Intelligence

io.github.cct15由 GitHub 账号 cct15 发布v1.0.0更新于 Oct 25, 2026

Geopolitical conflict risk, political events, and maritime traffic data for AI agents

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概览

AI 生成的概览

本地 MCP 服务器，为助手提供每日地缘政治冲突风险概率、政治事件预测，以及已暂停的海上交通数据。

可以做什么
获取六个地区的冲突风险概率，覆盖 1 天、7 天和 30 天期限，并含风险等级、事件类型细分及与一周前的变化。读取高影响的政治、经济和自然灾害事件，含概率估计、截止日期和置信度。查看每个冲突的结构化影响分析，包括受影响行业、资产和传导路径。查询海上交通数据，目前返回不可用状态。
适用场景
适合研究、新闻或风险监控类助手，用结构化风险数值替代解析新闻标题，例如跟踪各地区升级趋势，或为投资组合与供应链分析提供风险背景。
运行要求
以本地进程运行，从 PyPI 安装 war-dashboard-data，需要 Python 3.9 或更高版本，除标准库外无依赖。未声明认证、API 密钥或环境变量。数据随包提供并每日更新，约有 24 小时延迟。
安装前请注意
概率来自专有来源的模型估计，并非核实事实，不应作为交易或对冲决策依据。海上交通工具已暂停，不返回数据。局势简报部分为中文。数据约有 1 天延迟。

安装

在 SourceWeft 中

  1. 打开 控制台中的 Futuristic Risk Intelligence，将其添加到工作区。
  2. 为需要使用其工具的对话启用该服务。

Desktop only，通过 STDIO。 STDIO 服务会启动本地进程，因此需要 SourceWeft 桌面宿主。

其他 MCP 客户端

参照 仓库 中的启动说明。

README

Futuristic Risk Intelligence — MCP Server & Data Feed

Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via Model Context Protocol (MCP). Updated daily.

[PyPI] [war-dashboard-data MCP server]

MCP Tools

ToolDescription
get_conflict_risksRisk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons
get_political_eventsHigh-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates
get_maritime_traffic⚠️ Suspended — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns status: unavailable.

Install

bash
pip install war-dashboard-data

Quick Start

Claude Desktop

Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:

json
{  "mcpServers": {    "futuristic-risk": {      "command": "war-dashboard-data"    }  }}

Then ask Claude: "What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"

Direct API (REST)

bash
curl https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cct15/war-dashboard-data/main/conflicts.json

Coverage

6 conflict regions: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America

5 event types with clear risk direction:

Event TypeMeaningDirection
escalationMilitary escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test)risk_increase
ceasefireCeasefire or peace agreement reachedrisk_decrease
ceasefire_cancelExisting ceasefire breaks downrisk_increase
regime_changeGovernment falls or changesrisk_increase
diplomaticMajor diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty)neutral

Data Schema

conflicts.json

Each conflict includes:

FieldDescription
conflict_idRegion identifier (e.g. russia_ukraine, iran_israel_us)
importanceEditorial priority: high (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or low (low probability, included for data completeness)
risk_levelOverall risk: high / medium / low
probability_30d / 7d / 1dP(event occurs within time horizon)
situation_briefingDaily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news
risk_impactStructured impact analysis: industries[], assets[], channels[] (transmission paths)
risk_events[]Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities
risk_events[].directionrisk_increase (higher prob = more danger) or risk_decrease (higher prob = less danger)
risk_events[].change_vs_7d_agoProbability delta vs. 7 days ago
data_pointsNumber of data sources (for confidence assessment)
anomaly_detectedWhether probability diverges from news intensity

political_events.json

Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.

FieldDescription
event_summaryEvent description (Chinese)
event_summary_enEvent description (English)
categorypolitical / economic / natural_disaster
probabilityEstimated probability of occurrence
importanceEditorial priority: high (recommended for display) or low (data completeness)
deadlineEvent deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable
data_confidencehigh / medium / low (based on trading volume)

importance field

Both conflicts.json and political_events.json include an importance field:

  • high — Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.
  • low — Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.

maritime.json

⚠️ Suspended: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns {"status": "unavailable", "zones": []}. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.

Use Cases

  • Trading agents: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes
  • Risk management: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging
  • DeFi protocols: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk
  • Research agents: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions
  • News agents: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines

Technical Details

  • Zero dependencies: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)
  • Data source: Proprietary multi-source modeling
  • Update frequency: Daily
  • Latency: Public data has ~24h delay

License

Data is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.

Website & Research

futuristicrisks.com — Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.

Research articles:

Built by Futuristic Risk Intelligence.

来源：README.md，提交 c7f27ba

工具

0
SourceWeft 尚未在沙箱中启动过该软件包，因此其工具未知。

版本历史

1
  1. v1.0.0最新Sep 16, 2026

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