RiskState — Crypto Risk Engine

ai.riskstate由 riskstate.ai 發布官方發布者v1.0.1更新於 Oct 24, 2026

Live BTC/ETH risk state: risk policy, market structure and trading playbooks. Keyless free tier.

已驗證Streamable HTTP可網頁執行金融資料與分析

概覽

AI 產生的概覽

RiskState 提供唯讀的 BTC/ETH 風險策略、市場結構與交易劇本資料,讓助理在交易前查詢允許的風險曝險。

可以做什麼
讀取 BTC 或 ETH 目前的風險策略:策略等級、最大部位比例、槓桿上限、允許與禁止的操作,以及附策略雜湊的綜合評分。檢視市場結構:正在觸發的結構事件、預期不對稱性、距下一個觸發點的距離與關鍵結構價位。查詢交易劇本狀態:哪些規則化型態正在觸發、結構門檻判定、冷卻狀態,以及其他型態不符的原因。評估假設部位是否符合組合層級上限,回傳是否允許、部位上限與原因代碼。所有工具皆為唯讀,不會下單。
適用情境
適用於助理協助 BTC 或 ETH 交易決策、需要在提出或決定部位規模前核對風險許可的情況,也適合在風險策略之外補充市場結構與劇本背景。著重現貨、永續合約與 DeFi 借貸分析,而非訂單執行。
執行需求
遠端使用不需安裝或 API 金鑰,將託管的 Streamable HTTP 端點加入為自訂連接器即可。帶金鑰的 stdio 套件需要 Node.js 與 RISKSTATE_API_KEY 環境變數,RISKSTATE_API_URL 為選用。需要連線至 RiskState API 的網路,每個金鑰每分鐘限 60 次請求。
安裝前請注意
伺服器為唯讀且不下單,但其輸出屬於交易風險參考而非投資建議,且僅涵蓋 BTC/USD 與 ETH/USD。帶金鑰的套件需要 RISKSTATE_API_KEY 密鑰,應避免寫入共用設定。選用的 wallet_address 與 protocol 參數會把 DeFi 部位資訊傳送至遠端 API。免費層回傳的是公開摘要,更完整欄位需要金鑰。

安裝

在 SourceWeft 中

  1. 開啟 儀表板中的 RiskState — Crypto Risk Engine,將其新增到工作區。
  2. 為需要使用其工具的對話啟用該服務。

Web executable,透過 Streamable HTTP。 遠端服務在工作區中設定後即可從網頁執行環境執行。

交給代理程式安裝

把這段提示詞貼上到 Claude Code、Codex、Cursor 等代理程式,或 SourceWeft 對話中。代理程式會讀取該伺服器的安裝指南,先向你展示發布者、端點和登入方式,經你同意後再把它新增到你的客戶端。金鑰不會寫進任何命令。

閱讀 https://sourceweft.com/mcp/ai.riskstate%2Fmcp/install.md,並按其中說明把這個 MCP 伺服器接入我的客戶端。修改任何設定之前,先告訴我它的發布者、端點和登入方式,等我確認。不要把 API 金鑰寫進命令或我會提交的檔案;問我金鑰應從哪裡取得。

檢視代理程式所依據的安裝指南

其他 MCP 客戶端

把它新增到你客戶端的 mcpServers 設定中。

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "riskstate-crypto-risk-engine": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://api.riskstate.ai/mcp"
    }
  }
}

README

RiskState MCP Server

MCP server for RiskState — pre-trade risk permissions for BTC/USD and ETH/USD. Spot, perpetual futures (perps), and DeFi borrowing aware.

Your system asks: "How much can I risk right now?" RiskState answers with: policy level, max exposure, leverage limits, blocked actions — computed from 30+ real-time signals.

Two ways to use RiskState over MCP

1. Remote connector — no install, no API key. RiskState runs a hosted MCP server (Streamable HTTP) with a free public tier:

https://api.riskstate.ai/mcp

Add it as a custom connector in Claude or ChatGPT, then just ask what the risk state of BTC is. It exposes three read-only tools — get_risk_state, get_market_structure, get_playbook_status — covering all three engines, and is listed on the official MCP registry as ai.riskstate/mcp.

Responses are the free public summary: the same altitude as the public visualizer. policy_hash, composite subscores, positioning and macro detail need a key.

2. This package — stdio, keyed, full response. Use it when you want the complete audited payload in a local agent, or to pin a version in your own toolchain. It needs a RISKSTATE_API_KEY and returns everything your key is entitled to. That is what the rest of this README covers.

Tools

Four read-only tools, one per question you might ask before a trade:

ToolAnswersEndpointKey
get_risk_policyHow much exposure is allowed?POST /v1/risk-stateyes
get_market_structureAre we near a structural inflection?POST /v1/market-structureyes
get_playbook_statusIs a setup actionable right now?GET /api/playbook-datano
check_tradeWould THIS position be allowed?POST /v2/portfolio-risk-stateyes

get_risk_policy returns:

FieldDescription
policy_level5 levels: BLOCK_SURVIVAL, BLOCK_DEFENSIVE, CAUTIOUS, GREEN_SELECTIVE, GREEN_EXPANSION
max_size_pctMaximum position size as % of portfolio (0-100)
leverage_maxMaximum allowed leverage multiplier
allowed_actionsWhat the agent CAN do at this policy level
blocked_actionsWhat the agent CANNOT do
confidence_scoreSignal agreement x data quality (0-1)

check_trade evaluates a hypothetical book — send the position you are considering plus anything you already hold, since the caps are portfolio-aware. It returns per position whether it is allowed, the size cap in percent and dollars, and reason_codes when it is not. Those are blocking; advisories are informational and do not affect allowed. It places no orders.

get_playbook_status reports a setup as actionable only when its conditions match, no engine vetoed it, and it is not in alert cooldown. Setups that match but already alerted are counted separately, so an agent polling this tool does not act on the same signal twice.

Why there are no write tools

There is no update_policy, no set_limit, no exception management — and there will not be. The premise of RiskState is that the system being governed cannot move its own limits. Every decision is hashed (policy_hash) so it can be audited afterwards against the inputs that produced it; a tool that let the caller rewrite the policy would make that hash meaningless and the audit trail decorative.

So the lifecycle here deliberately lives on one side: the engine computes, the agent reads and complies. check_trade is the closest thing to a dynamic per-trade operation, and it is still read-only — it answers "would this be allowed", never "allow this".

The API aggregates 9+ real-time data sources server-side. See API docs for details.

What this wrapper does (and doesn't)

This is a thin wrapper — it translates MCP tool calls into REST API requests and returns the response. All computation (scoring, policy engine, data ingestion) happens server-side.

This wrapper adds:

  • MCP protocol compliance (stdio transport for Claude Desktop/Code)
  • Input validation via Zod schemas
  • Human-readable policy summary prepended to responses
  • Specific error messages (auth, rate limit, timeout) for agent recovery

This wrapper does NOT:

  • Cache responses (the API has 60s server-side cache)
  • Perform any scoring or computation locally
  • Guarantee response schema stability (follows API versioning)

Installation

bash
npm install @riskstate/mcp-server

Configuration

Environment Variables

VariableRequiredDescription
RISKSTATE_API_KEYYesAPI key from riskstate.ai (free during beta)
RISKSTATE_API_URLNoCustom API base URL (default: https://api.riskstate.ai)

Claude Desktop

Add to ~/.config/Claude/claude_desktop_config.json:

json
{  "mcpServers": {    "riskstate": {      "command": "npx",      "args": ["-p", "@riskstate/mcp-server", "riskstate-mcp"],      "env": {        "RISKSTATE_API_KEY": "your-api-key"      }    }  }}

Claude Code

bash
claude mcp add riskstate -- npx -p @riskstate/mcp-server riskstate-mcp

Set the API key in your environment:

bash
export RISKSTATE_API_KEY=your-api-key

Global install (alternative)

bash
npm install -g @riskstate/mcp-serverriskstate-mcp  # starts MCP server on stdio

Usage

The four tools are listed above. get_risk_policy takes:

Parameters

ParameterTypeRequiredDescription
asset"BTC" | "ETH"YesAsset to analyze
wallet_addressstringNoDeFi wallet for on-chain position data
protocol"spark" | "aave"NoLending protocol (default: spark)
include_detailsbooleanNoInclude full breakdown (subscores, macro, risk flags)

Example Response

json
{  "exposure_policy": {    "policy_level": "CAUTIOUS",    "max_size_pct": 35,    "leverage_max": 1.5,    "allowed_actions": ["DCA", "WAIT", "SPOT_LONG_CONFIRMED"],    "blocked_actions": ["LEVERAGE_GT_2X", "NEW_POSITIONS_UNCONFIRMED"]  },  "classification": {    "cycle_phase": "MID",    "market_regime": "RANGE",    "macro_regime": "NEUTRAL",    "direction": "SIDEWAYS"  },  "auditability": {    "composite_score": 52,    "confidence_score": 0.72,    "policy_hash": "a3f8c2...",    "ttl_seconds": 60  }}

How Agents Should Use This

Call get_risk_policy before every trade:

  1. If policy_level starts with BLOCK → do not open new positions
  2. Use max_size_pct to cap position sizing
  3. Check blocked_actions before executing
  4. Re-query after ttl_seconds (60s cache)

For a sized position, check_trade collapses steps 2-3 into one call: send the position you intend to open along with what you already hold, and read allowed plus reason_codes. Prefer it over re-deriving the cap yourself, since the caps are portfolio-aware and a position that passes in isolation can still breach concentration once aggregated.

get_market_structure and get_playbook_status are context, not permission. Neither one authorises a trade — only the risk policy does. Use them to decide whether a trade is worth proposing, then get_risk_policy / check_trade to learn how much of it you are allowed.

Limitations

  • v1 scope: BTC/USD and ETH/USD only (USD-denominated assessment). More assets planned.
  • Markets: Spot, perpetual futures, and DeFi borrowing. Same response — interpretation differs by market (see API docs).
  • Protocols: Spark and Aave V3 only for DeFi position data.
  • Rate limit: 60 requests/minute per API key.
  • Latency: ~1-3s per request (9+ upstream data source aggregation).
  • Tested with: Claude Desktop, Claude Code. Should work with any MCP-compatible client.

Links

License

MIT

來源:README.md,提交 d4773c8

工具

3

get_risk_state

Get BTC/ETH risk state

Current risk state of Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH): 5-level risk policy (BLOCK to GREEN) with max position size, leverage limit, direction bias and allowed/blocked actions, plus composite score (0-100), structural and tactical scores, market regime (BULL/SIDEWAYS/BEAR), volatility regime, cycle phase and macro state. Computed from 9+ real-time data sources (price, funding, RSI, MVRV, ETF flows, on-chain, macro). Use whenever the user asks how BTC or ETH is doing, whether it is a good time to buy/sell/hold, or how much risk to take.

輸入參數asset

get_market_structure

Get BTC/ETH market structure

Market Structure Engine view for BTC or ETH: validated structural events firing now (breakouts, breakdowns, cycle bottom/top, funding resets), expected asymmetry, distance to the next bullish/bearish triggers, key structural levels (ATH, 200W MA, 180d range) and a friction map of confluence-scored support/resistance walls between spot and the triggers. Use for questions about levels, support/resistance, breakouts or what would change the picture.

輸入參數asset

get_playbook_status

Get trading playbook status

Trading Playbook Engine status: the registry of rule-based trade setups (playbooks) for BTC and ETH and which ones are firing right now, with structure-gate verdicts, cooldown state and why non-firing setups do not match (failed predicates with live market readings). Strategy-level only — no prices, sizes or portfolio data. Use for questions about active trade setups or what the playbooks are watching.

無需輸入參數。

版本歷史

1
  1. v1.0.1最新Sep 16, 2026

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