Prediction Markets Quant

Hosted endpoint + full tool list: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp?utm_source=github&utm_medium=repo&utm_campaign=mcp-readme

PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

Canonical home: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.

[npm] [mcp MCP server] [M8ven Verified]

A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, Kalshi's 15-minute markets and perps (with liquidation estimates), live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.

Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it — per tool, wins and losses both, including the engines that lose money. The live record: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record

• Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm
• Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
• 40 tools on the main endpoint (/api/mcp/mcp), 45 across the two hosted servers: the fantasy-draft server adds adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players, draft_board and who_do_i_draft. No key needed for the free set. Counts read from the live tools/list on 2026-11-03.
• Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. During the season all eight answer week-by-week NFL market questions instead of draft questions.

See it work

[Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps in one question]

• Gemini CLI: install in one command, ask which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open. (47s demo · setup)
• Kalshi vs Polymarket, in one question: ask where the two venues disagree, then whether they agree on the next Fed meeting. (50s demo · setup guide)
• Kalshi 15-minute gold & Bitcoin + the BTC perp: live boards and perp funding in one chat. (48s demo · commodity markets)
• Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor: paste one URL and ask. (40s demo · Cursor setup)
• Kalshi weather edges + Kelly sizing: forecast vs market, then the position size, in one chat. (46s demo · weather)

Connect

One click: Add to Cursor · Add to VS Code · Gemini CLI: gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp

Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm

Hosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:

{  "mcpServers": {    "predictionmarketspicks": {      "command": "npx",      "args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"]    }  }}

That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 40 tools on the main endpoint, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp            # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft    # bridge to the fantasy-draft servernpx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local    # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all

--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.

Other hosted surfaces (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):

Tools

Free tools need no key. Pro tools read the live PMP edge engines and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key ($14.99/mo). Deeper results on the list-shaped tools unlock instantly and free — no key to copy, nothing to install: unlock here.

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via --local

Markets — free

Politics — free

Markets — free, depth-capped

NFL in-season — free

NHL — free

Fantasy draft desk — in season

Answering in season (free): player_outlook · explain_player · compare_players · sleepers_and_busts — the same names, now about this week: one player's Kalshi prop strikes, why the model prices them there, two to four players side by side, and the players the market over- and underprices.

Also answering in season (free): draft_board · best_available · who_do_i_draft · adp_market_gaps — the week's market version of each: players ranked by the median Kalshi prices them at, the strikes where Kalshi and the book consensus are 5¢+ apart, and the props on your roster. Draft answers return with the 2027 board.

Pro — live edge engines

commodity_edge · scan_mispricings · nfl_edge · nfl_prop_edge · edge_alerts

Trade tickets from the silver, gold, oil and bitcoin engines; Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model; NFL game and prop edges; the alerts feed. edge_alerts is the one hybrid: Pro keys get the feed in real time, and without a key the same feed arrives delayed 24h.

All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis).

Source

This repo is the public home of the server: the manifest, the bridge, the offline calculator build, and the docs. The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks — MIT license covers this repository, and no install is required to use the server.

npm installnpm run smoke          # offline calculator self-test, no networknpm run smoke:bridge   # bridge self-test against the hosted endpointnpm start -- --local   # stdio server, 6 calculators

Or run the offline build with Docker:

docker build -t pmp-mcp-quant .docker run --rm -i pmp-mcp-quant

About

Built by PredictionMarketsPicks — independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

License

MIT — see LICENSE.