Futuristic Risk Intelligence

io.github.cct15由 GitHub 帳號 cct15 發布v1.0.0更新於 Oct 25, 2026

Geopolitical conflict risk, political events, and maritime traffic data for AI agents

概覽

AI 產生的概覽

本機 MCP 伺服器,為助理提供每日地緣政治衝突風險機率、政治事件預測,以及已暫停的海上交通資料。

可以做什麼
取得六個地區的衝突風險機率,涵蓋 1 天、7 天與 30 天期間,並含風險等級、事件類型細分及與一週前的變化。讀取高影響的政治、經濟與自然災害事件,含機率估計、截止日期與信心程度。檢視各衝突的結構化影響分析,包括受影響產業、資產與傳導路徑。查詢海上交通資料,目前回傳不可用狀態。
適用情境
適合研究、新聞或風險監控類助理,以結構化風險數值取代解析新聞標題,例如追蹤各地區升溫趨勢,或為投資組合與供應鏈分析提供風險背景。
執行需求
以本機程序執行,從 PyPI 安裝 war-dashboard-data,需要 Python 3.9 或更新版本,除標準函式庫外無相依套件。未宣告驗證、API 金鑰或環境變數。資料隨套件提供並每日更新,約有 24 小時延遲。
安裝前請注意
機率來自專有來源的模型估計,並非經核實的事實,不應作為交易或避險決策依據。海上交通工具已暫停,不回傳資料。局勢簡報部分為中文。資料約有 1 天延遲。

安裝

在 SourceWeft 中

  1. 開啟 儀表板中的 Futuristic Risk Intelligence,將其新增到工作區。
  2. 為需要使用其工具的對話啟用該服務。

Desktop only,透過 STDIO。 STDIO 服務會啟動本機處理程序,因此需要 SourceWeft 桌面主機。

其他 MCP 客戶端

參照 儲存庫 中的啟動說明。

README

Futuristic Risk Intelligence — MCP Server & Data Feed

Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via Model Context Protocol (MCP). Updated daily.

[PyPI] [war-dashboard-data MCP server]

MCP Tools

ToolDescription
get_conflict_risksRisk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons
get_political_eventsHigh-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates
get_maritime_traffic⚠️ Suspended — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns status: unavailable.

Install

bash
pip install war-dashboard-data

Quick Start

Claude Desktop

Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:

json
{  "mcpServers": {    "futuristic-risk": {      "command": "war-dashboard-data"    }  }}

Then ask Claude: "What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"

Direct API (REST)

bash
curl https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cct15/war-dashboard-data/main/conflicts.json

Coverage

6 conflict regions: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America

5 event types with clear risk direction:

Event TypeMeaningDirection
escalationMilitary escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test)risk_increase
ceasefireCeasefire or peace agreement reachedrisk_decrease
ceasefire_cancelExisting ceasefire breaks downrisk_increase
regime_changeGovernment falls or changesrisk_increase
diplomaticMajor diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty)neutral

Data Schema

conflicts.json

Each conflict includes:

FieldDescription
conflict_idRegion identifier (e.g. russia_ukraine, iran_israel_us)
importanceEditorial priority: high (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or low (low probability, included for data completeness)
risk_levelOverall risk: high / medium / low
probability_30d / 7d / 1dP(event occurs within time horizon)
situation_briefingDaily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news
risk_impactStructured impact analysis: industries[], assets[], channels[] (transmission paths)
risk_events[]Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities
risk_events[].directionrisk_increase (higher prob = more danger) or risk_decrease (higher prob = less danger)
risk_events[].change_vs_7d_agoProbability delta vs. 7 days ago
data_pointsNumber of data sources (for confidence assessment)
anomaly_detectedWhether probability diverges from news intensity

political_events.json

Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.

FieldDescription
event_summaryEvent description (Chinese)
event_summary_enEvent description (English)
categorypolitical / economic / natural_disaster
probabilityEstimated probability of occurrence
importanceEditorial priority: high (recommended for display) or low (data completeness)
deadlineEvent deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable
data_confidencehigh / medium / low (based on trading volume)

importance field

Both conflicts.json and political_events.json include an importance field:

  • high — Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.
  • low — Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.

maritime.json

⚠️ Suspended: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns {"status": "unavailable", "zones": []}. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.

Use Cases

  • Trading agents: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes
  • Risk management: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging
  • DeFi protocols: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk
  • Research agents: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions
  • News agents: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines

Technical Details

  • Zero dependencies: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)
  • Data source: Proprietary multi-source modeling
  • Update frequency: Daily
  • Latency: Public data has ~24h delay

License

Data is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.

Website & Research

futuristicrisks.com — Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.

Research articles:

Built by Futuristic Risk Intelligence.

來源:README.md,提交 c7f27ba

工具

0
SourceWeft 尚未在沙箱中啟動過該軟體包,因此其工具未知。

版本歷史

1
  1. v1.0.0最新Sep 16, 2026

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