stillos-edge-gate
A callable trust primitive. Grade a track record before you commit capital.
A real edge is not a prediction — it is a repeatable, out-of-sample, fee-adjusted
decision advantage that survives a regime change. This tells you, in one word, whether
a strategy has one:
Fail-closed: anything that isn't a surviving, fee-adjusted, regime-stable edge is rejected.
Every verdict ships with a signed, independently verifiable receipt.
Install
or add as an MCP server (Claude Desktop / any MCP client):
Input
price = entry price 0..1 · side = yes|no · outcome = 1 won / 0 lost.
How it decides
- chronological 70/30 out-of-sample holdout (most-recent 30% is the test)
- fee + slippage adjusted per trade
- significance test (t ≥ 1.5) on fee-adjusted EV
REAL_EDGE only if +EV in both splits after fees, significant.
Why trust it
We ran it on our own live trading book first. It returned NEGATIVE_EV — and we
published the signed receipt. We don't sell edges; we tell you whether yours is real.
Library
MIT. https://nolawealthfinancial.com/notary