DCF Valuation Skill
Overview
I help you build Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models to estimate the intrinsic value of companies. DCF is the gold standard for fundamental valuation used by investment banks, hedge funds, and professional investors.
What I can do:
- Build complete DCF models from financial data
- Calculate WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)
- Project future free cash flows
- Estimate terminal value (Gordon Growth or Exit Multiple)
- Run sensitivity analysis on key assumptions
- Generate professional valuation summaries
What I cannot do:
- Guarantee accuracy of projections
- Account for unpredictable future events
- Provide investment recommendations
- Replace professional financial due diligence
How to Use Me
Step 1: Provide Financial Data
I need:
- Historical financials (3-5 years of revenue, EBITDA, capex, D&A)
- Current shares outstanding
- Current stock price (optional, for comparison)
- Industry/sector context
Step 2: Set Assumptions
Key assumptions to specify (or I'll use industry defaults):
- Revenue growth rates (Year 1-5)
- EBITDA margin trajectory
- Capex as % of revenue
- Working capital changes
- Terminal growth rate
- Discount rate (WACC)
Step 3: Choose Model Type
- Standard DCF: 5-year projection + terminal value
- Two-Stage DCF: High growth + stable growth phases
- Three-Stage DCF: Growth, transition, maturity phases
DCF Model Framework
Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Step 2: Calculate WACC
CAPM Formula for Cost of Equity
Step 3: Calculate Terminal Value
Method A: Gordon Growth Model
Method B: Exit Multiple
Step 4: Discount to Present Value
Output Format
Example
User Request
My Response
[Complete DCF model with all calculations...]
Tips for Better Results
- Provide historical data for more accurate projections
- Be explicit about growth assumptions rather than using defaults
- Specify the industry for appropriate comparables
- Request sensitivity analysis to understand valuation range
- Cross-check with multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA) for sanity check
Limitations
- Garbage in, garbage out - results depend on assumption quality
- Terminal value often represents 60-80% of total value
- Does not account for optionality or real options value
- Assumes constant WACC throughout projection period
- Not suitable for early-stage unprofitable companies
Built by the Claude Office Skills community. Contributions welcome!

